AMERICAN TURF CLUB SELECTIONS: DAY 7

June 14, 2021

Boozin at Bozos overcomes his scratch/hangover and cashes in big, but with $242 wagered and $202.70 won it was another unsuccessful day.   Note that ATC only had 1 winning day out of 7, and 5 losing days (one day was break even)... but I would still recommend the newsletter. Here's why...

While playing every selection every day will cost you money, ATC is still a useful guide. A better strategy would be tracking their selections, making note of those that are at least 5/1 or 6/1 morning lines, then watching the races throughout the day. If the horse looks good in the paddock, the odds go up, etc. then play the selection. $2 win/place wagers are no fun when they pay less than you risked. Make note of the tips, and when the price is right consider them. I just renewed my ATC subscription despite the results documented here.

UPDATE: On 6/15/21 ATC had KICK KICK HUSTLE in the 2nd race at Penn National. It won and $2 win/place paid $89.80. Even if all the other 5/1 or better morning line horses win nothing that's still a profit of $60+ for the day.

This past Sunday Mountaineer analyst Mark Patterson had an excellent commentary before their races started regarding handicapping philosophy. His point was to be alone in your thoughts when handicapping. When you have ideas, explaining them weakens them. Talking about them weakens them and writing them weakens them even more. It's a shame simulcasts don't make their pre-race shows available for replay, this would be worth watching again.

For the purposes of this report all horses selected in ATC were wagered in the following way:

$2 to win / $2 to place
A $1 exacta box was played when more than one selected horse was in a race
"X" denotes a losing horse
SCR denotes a scratched horse
* denotes a "Four Star Selection" (4*) - bet double the normal amount ($4 win/$4 place)

Here's how ATC selections did for Sunday, June 13, 2021:

Monmouth

Race 4 - 1 Oddsondustymiller X / 2 Your Pal X / 4 Joy's Pride $4.80 / 5 Takeittocommittee X No exacta
Race 11 - 1 Beau Bridge $10.40

Another complete mess in race 1, the exacta box was skipped for this race. JOY'S PRIDE overcame a bump at the start to rally for 2nd, ODDSONDUSTYMILLER gave it a good effort but couldn't pass JOY'S PRIDE. YOUR PAL went wide at the turn and did nothing. TAKEITTOCOMMITTEE kept up with the winner until the turn and weakened. BEAU BRIDGE took over at the 16th marker to defeat JO JO KATZ for 1st.

Monmouth amount wagered: $20
Amount won: $15.20
Total: -$4.80

Pimlico

Race 2 - 8 Out of Sorts $6.80
Race 5 - 5 Response Time X
Race 7 - 1 Drive by Layover X / 4 Jackie A $4.40 / 6 Elusive Edge
Race 9 - 7 Lucre 30-1 X

OUT OF SORTS showed patience and eventually turned in a victory. RESPONSE TIME bumped HITCH A RIDE at the gate and that was about all he accomplished, finishing 5th. Race 7 proved to be a poor investment, with $18 bringing back only $4.40. JACKIE A rallied for 2nd, ELUSIVE EDGE finished 3rd, and DRIVE BY LAYOVER was simply outrun, finishing 6th. LUCRE showed too little, too late, and only got 6th

Pimlico amount wagered: $30
Amount won: $11.20
Total: -$18.80

Gulfstream

Race 5 - 4 Irazu $5.60 Risk $4 Win $5.60 +1.60

IRAZU had no room but showed toughness by finishing 2nd after he finally got clear.

Gulfstream amount wagered: $4
Amount won: $5.60
Total: +$5.60

Churchill

Race 3 - 5 Code Duello X
Race 5 - 3 Released $7.40
Race 10 - 4 Surveillance $5

CODE DUELLO looked good but yielded (4th). RELEASED was bumped at the start (theme for the day), recovered for 2nd but never threatened for 1st. SURVEILLANCE fought for the lead but was beaten by BUSINESS MODEL on the outside, settling for 2nd.

Churchill amount wagered: $12
Amount won: $12.40
Total: +$0.40

Canterbury

Race 5 - 2 Boozin At Bozos $25
Race 7 - 1 Zoe's Delight $24.40 / 8 Bobby Baby SCR

BOOZIN AT BOZOS got off to a slow start but came back from being scratched earlier in the meet to "jump out of her skin" (according to announcer Paul Allen) and win a thriller in race 5. BOBBY BABY was scratched (re-entered, ZOE'S DELIGHT ran well, took the lead after the far turn and won easily at another good price.

Canterbury amount wagered: $8
Amount won: $49.40
Total: +$41.40

Lone Star

Race 1 - 6 Tapit Right $2.80
Race 3 - 6 Sournois X
Race 4 - 6 Sunlit Song $4.70
Race 5 - 6 Social Afleet X
Race 7 - 5 Shes Our Fastest X
Race 9 - 7 Kenai Bob X

TAPIT RIGHT bumped the winner in the stretch but only finished 2nd. SOURNOIS looked like he might rally but only managed 3rd. SUNLIT SONG ran to its price, a whopping 70 cent profit. SOCIAL AFLEET settled early, tried to make a move, but weakened. SHES OUR FASTEST was only fast enough for 3rd. KENAI BOB repeated the performance with a 3rd place finished of his own.

Lone Star amount wagered: $24
Amount won: $7.50
Total: -$16

Louisiana

Race 7 - 1 Brown Eyed Angel X
BROWN EYED ANGEL threw her head in the air at the start and never threatened.

Louisiana amount wagered: $4
Amount won: $0
Total: -$4

Golden Gate

Race 1 - 6 Forever Free X
Race 2 - 2 Luca's Ride $11.60
Race 4 - 2 Where's Frankie SCR / 7 Swanee $2.60
Race 5 - 2 Orczy X
Race 9 - 1 Knockout Bert X / 3 Barhopsky X / 6 Elcondor X
Race 11 - 9 Edinburgh Express X last
Race 12 - 12 Torrey's Girl $3

FOREVER FREE couldn't last forever, kept up early but weakened in the stretch (5th). LUCA'S RIDE faced a challenge late but dug in for 1st. WHERE'S FRANKIE was scratched (veterinarian). SWANEE beat the rest of the field but couldn't catch GALWALKSINTOABAR for the win, paying a meager place price. ORCZY came all the way from Ireland to finish 5th after weakening in the stretch. Race 9 was an abomination of wagering with the selected horses finishing 3rd, 5th, and 6th. Things got worse in race 11 when EDINBURGH EXPRESS quit in the stretch. TORREY'S GIRL was never threatened for 2nd but couldn't run to her favorite price.

Golden Gate amount wagered: $42
Amount won: $17.20
Total: -$24.80

Santa Anita

Race 1 - 5 Freedom Lass X
Race 4 - 1 Beyond Brilliant $4.70
Race 5 - 2 Hapi Hapi $19.60
Race 7 - 1 Goldini X
11 - 2 Brio Is Awesome X / 11 New Drama X

FREEDOM LASS was bumped at the gate and recovered, but was run down at the end. BEYOND BRILLIANT won handily but at a terribly short price. HAPI HAPI made bettors happy with a tough effort, overcoming lack of room and a bump in the upper stretch to win. GOLDINI was bumped at the start (is this Santa Anita or UFC?) and recovered but only managed 3rd. NEW DRAMA built a nice lead but weakened late and finished 3rd, BRIO IS AWESOME looked anything but, finishing 2nd to last.

Santa Anita amount wagered: $26
Amount won: $24.40
Total: -$1.60

Prairie Meadows

Race 3 - 2 Molleck $4.40 / 4 Gio Nasty One X / 6 Uncle Chad X
Race 4 - 4 Last Battle $6.40 / 5 Mr. Shapoor $15.60 - Exacta $28.20
Race 5 - 1 Jasiri X
Race 7 - 4 Stonecold Stunner 8-1 X / 5 Pioneerof New York $5.20

MOLLECK led early but could only hold on for 2nd. GIO NASTY ONE had a bobble at the start, while UNCLE CHAD could only manage 2nd to last. LAST BATTLE and MR SHAPOOR made it look easy, the only 2 contenders at the end of the stretch, bringing in the biggest win of the day with win/place, place, and exacta wins. JASIRI led early only to tease us and finish last. STONECOLD STUNNER was a waste of time and money, while PIONEEROF NEW YORK managed 2nd.

Prairie Meadows amount wagered: $42
Amount won: $59.80
Total: +$17.80

Mountaineer

Race 1 - 8 Dreaming of Frank 12-1 X
Race 3 - 7 Honor Life X
Race 6 - 1 Capone's Loft X / 6 Stormbird's Song X

DREAMING OF FRANK must have had a nightmare, as the Equibase chart stated he "was always outrun" as he finihsed 2nd last. HONOR LIFE trumped that performance, wearing out in the upper stretch and finish last. CAPONE'S LOFT ran evenly but did nothing, while STORMBIRD SONG capped off a perfect losing day with another last place finish.

Mountaineer amount wagered: $18
Amount won: $0
Total: -$18

Total amount wagered across all tracks 6/13/21: $242
Total amount won: $202.70
Result for the day: -$39.30
Results after 7 days: -$135.10
AMERICAN TURF CLUB SELECTIONS: DAY 1

AMERICAN TURF CLUB SELECTIONS: DAY 2

AMERICAN TURF CLUB SELECTIONS: DAY 3

AMERICAN TURF CLUB SELECTIONS: DAY 4

AMERICAN TURF CLUB SELECTIONS: DAY 5

AMERICAN TURF CLUB SELECTIONS: DAY 6

JHK